(Updates with Q4 GDP) New items are marked by asterisk (*) ————————————————————–
# GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
Q4/09 FY/09 Q3/09 Q4/08 FY/08
y/y pct chng -6.2 -5.1 -5.4 +3.5 +6.0
bln levs 17.86 66.20 18.06 18.69 66.73
—————————————————————
BULGARIAN CONSUMER PRICES DEC/09 OCT/09 DEC/08
m/m pct change +0.5 +0.1 -0.2
y/y pct change 0.6 -0.1 +7.8
—————————————————————
EU HARMONISED PRICE INFLATION DEC/09 NOV/09 DEC/08
m/m pct change +0.3 +0.2 -0.4
y/y pct change +1.6 +0.9 +7.2
—————————————————————
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE DEC/09 NOV/09 DEC/08
monthly total 338,144 320,758 232,289
pct of workforce 9.13 8.66 6.27
—————————————————————
PRODUCER PRICE INFLATION DEC/09 NOV/09 DEC/08
m/m pct change +0.9 +0.3 -3.9
y/y pct change -0.7 -5.3 +1.9
—————————————————————
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT DEC/09 NOV/09 (revised) DEC/08
m/m pct change -0.7 +1.2 +1.7
y/y pct change -12.1 -10.8 -8.3
—————————————————————-
INDUSTRIAL SALES DEC/09 NOV/09(revised) DEC/08
m/m pct change +5.8 +0.9 -0.4
y/y pct change -9.8 -13.0 -10.8
—————————————————————
GROSS FOREIGN DEBT
(in million euros) END-NOV/09 END-OCT/09 END-NOV/08
(revised)
GROSS FOREIGN DEBT 36,991.9 36,898.1 37,750.0
LONG-TERM DEBT 24,259.7 24,201.6 23,966.6
SHORT-TERM DEBT 12,732.2 12,696.5 13,783.3
PUBLIC DEBT&STATE
GUARANTEED LOANS 4,153.7 4,157.6 4,108.7
PRIVATE FOREIGN DEBT 32,838.2 32,740.5 33,641.3
PUBLIC FOREIGN DEBT 2,821.9 2,805.1 2,716.6
COMMERCIAL BANKS DEBT 8,074.6 8,068.8 9,635.7
PUBLIC AND PRIVATE
CORPORATE DEBT 11,999.5 11,974.1 12,024.0
FDI: INTER-FIRM DEBT 14,095.9 14,050.1 13,373.7
FOREIGN DEBT/PCT OF GDP 110.4 110.1 110.6
DEBT SERVICE/PCT OF GDP 18.5 17.9 17.6
SHORT-TERM/TOTAL DEBT (PCT) 34.4 34.4 36.5
—————————————————————
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
(in million euros)
NOV/09 JAN-NOV/09 JAN-NOV/08
CURRENT ACCOUNT 176.8 -2,555.7 -7,687.6
TRADE BALANCE -226.3 -3,727.0 -7,956.2
exports, FOB 1,112.2 10,803.0 14,268.9
imports, FOB -1,338.5 -14,529.9 -22,225.2
SERVICES, net 5.6 1,367.4 838.1
INCOME, net 27.2 -657.6 -1,071.6
TRANSFERS, net change 16.7 461.5 502.1
FINANCIAL ACCOUNT* 350.5 2,245.4 11,732.7
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT 192.4 2,630.3 6,049.8
BNB FOREX RESERVES, net** -159.0 655.1 -2,234.7
OVERALL BALANCE 159.0 -655.1 2,234.7
C/A DEFICIT AS PCT/GDP n.a 7.6 22.5
NOTES:(*) The financial account includes direct and portfolio investment flows plus foreign loans to government structures and the private sector less balance of payments support, which is part of foreign exchange reserves. (**) A minus sign in the entry denotes an increase, while a plus sign denotes a decrease. —————————————————————
CURRENCY BOARD FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
1.95583 levs per euro from July 5, 1999 CENTRAL BANK DAILY
LEV/DOLLAR REFERENCE EXCHANGE RATES USED FOR STATISTICAL AND
ACCOUNTING PURPOSES
—————————————————————
# The Finance ministry has made the following forecasts for major economic indicators for 2009. The projections are subject to revision. 2008 and 2007 indicators had been announced by the statistics office, the central bank and the finance ministry:
2010 2009 2008
Budget balance, (pct/GDP) -0.7 -0.76 +3.0
GDP real growth, pct +0.3 -4.9 +6.0
GDP bln levs 68.061 66.519 66.739
EU HARMONISED CPI (end-year) +2.2 +1.8 +7.2
EU HARMONISED CPI (average) +2.3 +2.3 +11.9
Current account deficit (pct/GDP) 8.0 -11.0 -25.4
FDI (bln euro) 3.3 3.0 6.5
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